Christmas came early for the Cleveland Guardians and their fans on Thursday night as they rallied late to knock off the New York Yankees and advance back to the ALCS. New York now leads the series 2 games to 1.

David Fry went deep into the 10th^Th In the inning, he hit a 2-run shot off Clay Holmes to give Cleveland the win, but that was just one of a few big ABs and swings in momentum late in the game. An inning earlier, Johnkensy Noel, known as Big Christmas, had undoubtedly hit a 2-run home run with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9th^Th inning against Luke Weaver to tie the game at 5. This came after Cleveland closer Emmanuel Clase served back-to-back home runs to Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton in the 8th^Th inning to give the Yankees the lead.

This makes Game 4 on Friday night a crucial game in the series as Cleveland looks to equalize while the Yankees look to all but end the Guardians' season. Luis Gil makes his first^st Start of the postseason for New York. He will face Gavin Williams.

Let's delve a little deeper into Game 3 and find a sweat or two.

We have all the information and analysis you need to know before the game, including the latest on how to catch the first pitch, the scheduled pitching matchup, current team performance, player stats and of course our predictions, tips & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and our team of experts.

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Game details and how to watch Yankees @ Guardians – Game 4

● Date: Thursday, October 18, 2024
● Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
● Site: Progressive field
● City: Cleveland, OH
● TV/Streaming: TBS, TruTV, MAX

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ALCS Game 4 Odds for Yankees @ Guardians

The latest odds from Friday morning:

● Money line: Cleveland Guardians (+105), New York Yankees (-125)
● Spread: Guards +1.5 (-165), Yankees -1.5 (+135)
● In total: 8

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Likely starting players for New York @ Cleveland

● Pitching matchup on Friday (October 18): Luis Gil vs Gavin Williams

○ Guardian: Williams – the right-hander hasn't appeared in a game since September 22nd. He was 3-10 with a 4.86 ERA during the regular season, recording 72 hits and 41 earned runs while recording 79 strikeouts over the course of 76 innings.

○ Yankees: Gil – the right-hander hasn't pitched since September 28th. He was 15-7 with a 3.50 ERA during the regular season, allowing 104 hits and 59 earned runs while striking out 171 over the course of 151.2 innings.

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Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of ALCS Game 4: Yankees @ Guardians

• All 3 ALCS games have exceeded the total.
• The Yankees are 3-4 ATS in the postseason.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against the Guardians
• The Guardians are 3-5 ATS and 5-3 OVER this postseason.
• Noel's HR appointment was his first since August 30th^Th.
• Judge has now hit a home run in 3 of his last 5 games at Progressive Field.
• New York and Cleveland met in the playoffs six times: 1997, 1998, 2007, 2017, 2020 and 2022. The Yankees won 4 of the 6 series, including the most recent series – the 2022 ALDS, 3 games to 2. Overall the Yankees are in the Playoffs 16-12 vs. Cleveland.

Playoff stories for Cleveland and New York

• Guardian: Cleveland has an all-time record of 64-62. They appeared in the World Series six times – 1920, 1948, 1954, 1995, 1997 and 2016 – and lost six times.
• Yankees: The Yankees want to reach their 41st place^st AL pennant. New York has won 27 world championships. Their last World Series win was in 2009. They have been to the playoffs 57 times.

If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on today's schedule, check out our MLB Top Trends Tool on NBC Sports!

Expert tips and predictions for Game 4 of the ALCS between Cleveland and New York

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Our model calculates predictions for every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we place its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to determine a relative confidence level for each bet.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for Friday's Game 4 between the Guardians and Yankees:

• Money line: NBC Sports recommends a game against the Yankees on the moneyline
• Spread: NBC Sports is leaning toward a game with the Yankees on the run line
• Total number of runs: NBC Sports recommends a game with OVER of 8 total runs

Want even more best MLB bets and predictions from our team of experts and tools? Check this out Expert MLB Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today's calendar!

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