Find out why we side with Deportivo Toluca

Instead of betting on Deportivo Toluca to win, let's take the 2.03 the favorite overcame -1.5 in the Asian Handicap against Puebla. That means they have to come back to us with a win of two goals or more.

1-1 draw in the last H2H

Toluca triumphed in their last away game. Querétaro was beaten 1-0 at the Estadio La Corregidora. Renato Paiva's side had 62% possession and had eight shots on target, with Paulinho scoring the winner in the 45th minute.

Puebla has suffered five straight defeats and was recently beaten 2-1 at home by Cruz Azul at the Estadio Cuahutehmoc. Los Camoteros only had 38% possession and had three shots on goal, while Luis Quinones scored the goal.

We saw Puebla and Deportivo Toluca play out a 1-1 draw at the Estadio Cuahutehmoc the last time the two teams met. Looking back at the last 10 H2H meetings, there were four draws. Puebla has won four games and Deportivo Toluca has won two.

Deportivo Toluca – Last 10 league games

Deportivo Toluca has 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, an average of 2.0 goals on 5.2 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. They averaged 52.1% possession and 5.3 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.9 goals on 4.5 shots on goal, 10.9 shots and 5.1 corners.

Paulinho is at the top with 6 goals, Isaias Violante has 3, Alexis Vega and two others have 2. Paulinho has recorded the most assists with 5.

Puebla – Last 10 league games

Club Puebla has 2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, with an average of 7.8 attempts, 3.7 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Jose Manuel de la Torre's team averages 39.7% ball possession, 4.1 corners missed and 6.5 conceded, while conceding 1.6 goals with 5.6 shots on goal and 12.0 shots on goal.

Luis Quinones is at the top of the team's scorers list with 3 goals, while Emiliano Gomez and Santiago Ormeno have 2 each. Brayan Angulo has been the main assist provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Confirmed lineups

Deportivo Toluca (confirmed lineup): Tiago Volpi, Brian Garcia, Federico Pereira, Luan Garcia, Jesus Gallardo, Claudio Baeza, Marcel Ruiz, Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega, Isaias Violante, Paulinho.

Puebla (confirmed lineup): Miguel Ponce Jimenez, Angel Robles, Emanuel Gularte, Efrain Orona, Gustavo Ferrareis, Brayan Angulo, Diego De Buen, Pablo Gonzalez, Facundo Waller, Emiliano Gomez, Luis Quinones.

Expert analysis of Liga MX

Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football tips are also informed by the latest form, with statistics playing a major role before making predictions.

Key Toluca vs Puebla league stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Toluca in 3 of the last 5 home games.

Deportivo Toluca could have the upper hand in this Liga MX clash. We expect the favorite to win by a convincing margin, so we're playing the -1.5 Asian Handicap at a tempting odds of 2.03.

If you are looking for a viable alternative to supporting Deportivo Toluca in the Asian Handicap, then the Winning Margin market could be just what you need. Choose from a range of options.

Deportivo Toluca -1.5 probability

Betting providers estimate that the probability of our choice being considered a winner is 49.4%. In our opinion, the probability of success is actually between 55 and 60%. For this reason we recommend this bet.

Published on October 21, 2024, 9:37 am

Correct result prediction

Toluca vs Puebla odds

The bookmakers are taking no risks with their betting odds of 1.33 on Toluca, meaning they have a 75 percent chance of winning this Liga MX game. If you're looking for an alternative angle, Puebla is trading at 7.50.

A high scoring game is possible and this is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds. The “Yes” option in the “Both Teams to Score” market is considered the most likely outcome and is trading at 1.75.

Visit Bet Builder and you will find all the popular football betting markets there. The Liga MX selections can then be compiled into a same-game accumulator for you to cheer on.

Team news

It's good to be aware of any injuries and this is reflected in our Toluca vs Puebla team news, leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

Liga MX roster information is a huge advantage when it comes to placing your bets.