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Thursday Night Football Broncos vs. Saints: Fantasy Football Breakdown
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Thursday Night Football Broncos vs. Saints: Fantasy Football Breakdown

You can watch “Thursday Night Football: Broncos vs. Saints” at 8:20 p.m. ET/5:20 p.m. PT on Amazon Prime Video.

You knew it would happen eventually. Thursday Night Football has finally returned to its roots, giving us as ugly a matchup as it gets in Week 7. The 3:3 Denver Broncos face the 2:4 New Orleans Saints. Let's get to the story of the volume (I guess).

Okay, the headline is misleading. I think Bo Nix will have a much, much better game than Spencer Rattler.

Of course, it's not fair to compare the two either. After all, Nix has started every game for his team this season, while Rattler was pushed into the starting lineup after Derek Carr went down. Not to mention, Rattler will be without both Chris Olave (concussion) and Rashid Shaheed (knee – and he could be out for a while) on Thursday. As good as Alvin Kamara is, it's hard to expect a good game from a rookie quarterback making only his second start against a strong defense and an opposing head coach who is undoubtedly looking to take on his former team to record.

So let's focus on nothing.

The 12th overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft has proven to be the rare QB who is “better for fantasy than reality.” This is his second consecutive 20+ point fantasy game, and he's doing it thanks to his legs. Nix has already scored three rushing touchdowns this season and rushed for a season-high 61 yards in Week 6. Expect this aspect of his game to continue in Week 7 against a strong Saints pass rush.

Of course, this pass rush didn't help against opposing running games. Speaking of which…

The Saints lead the league in rush yards per carry allowed. Sure, that number was inflated after what Sean Tucker and Bucky Irving just did against them, but the Saints have now allowed a running back to have a solid-to-great game in four straight weeks.

If ever there was a game for Javonte Williams to deliver a fantasy-friendly performance, it was this one.

Williams was a premier zero-RB target in 2024 with an ADP of 94.1. As the presumed starter of an offense breaking in a rookie quarterback, it wasn't hard to see Williams' RB2 being a positive, especially since he's healthy.

But it didn't work out that way. Whether it was giving work to Jaleel McLaughlin or the Broncos' offense as a whole was disappointing (they always seem to be behind, even in games they won), Williams was an overall disappointment. But we just saw the unheralded Tucker completely destroy the Saints defense on the ground and in the air. It's not that hard to believe that Williams — who was a surprising addition through the air and ranked fifth among RBs in catches this season — couldn't replicate that performance. This could be one of the few game scripts in which Williams could turn in a solid fantasy day, and if he does, it should give his managers a (relatively) high selling opportunity to opposing running back-needy teams in the bye-week season.

Let me preface this by saying: You enter the Saints offense this week at your own risk. This game screams Alvin Kamara career-making (and Taysom Hill shenanigans if he were healthy, but it's doubtful he'll play in this game).

But we're talking about the tight end here – many of us will take what we can get.

Johnson has been pretty consistent, if not downright boring, for the Saints over the last two weeks. He has scored 11 goals in his last three games and caught three passes in two straight games (five in Week 5). The Broncos have a strong defense led by their secondary, but will be without all-world corner Patrick Surtain II (concussion) for this game. Since Week 2, the Broncos have given up four-plus catches to the tight end position four times, including a monster day from Brock Bowers (8-97-1) in Week 5.

With Rattler still learning the ropes and the Saints without their two primary receivers, Johnson is a prime streaming option for fantasy football managers desperate to get some of their TE spot.

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