More than 2.5 goals is our best choice

We are excited about the prospect of the net being packed when Puebla and Cruz Azul meet. Based on this, we will go with the Over 2.5 option for the total number of goals and are confident with the value of 1.62 on offer.

Cruz Azul 1-0 winner in the last H2H match

Puebla has been beaten in its last four games. Away at Estadio Universitario/El Volcan, Tigres UANL recently defeated them 1-0. In the end they only had 39% possession and had two shots on goal.

Cruz Azul won at home in their last game. A 3-0 triumph against Club Necaxa at the Estadio Azteca ensured their third win in a row. They had three shots on goal and had 69% possession, with Alexis Gutierrez, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi and Lorenzo Faravelli scoring.

In the last meeting between Cruz Azul and Puebla, the former won. It was 1-0 at the Estadio Cuahutehmoc. In the last ten games between these teams, there were five draws, Puebla won three games and Cruz Azul won two.

Puebla – Last 10 league games

2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. Club Puebla had 39.7% ball possession and 4.5 corners per game. On average, the opponent scored 1.6 goals on 5.6 shots on goal and 11.1 shots, while they were awarded 6.1 corners.

Top scorer Lucas Daniel Cavallini scored three times, Luis Quinones, Emiliano Gomez and Santiago Ormeno twice each. Leading assistant is Brayan Angulo with 2.

Cruz Azul – Last 10 league games

Cruz Azul has won 8, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 5.6 shots on goal, 11.4 attempts and 2.5 goals. They average 58.4% ball possession, 5.6 corners taken and 3.6 goals conceded, while conceding 0.8 goals on 6.0 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi and Georgios Giakoumakis lead the team's top scorers list with 5 goals, Lorenzo Faravelli with 4. The best assists in the last 10 games are Luis Romo, Carlos Rodriguez and Georgios Giakoumakis, who have all scored 3 goals.

Confirmed lineups

Puebla (confirmed lineup): Miguel Ponce Jimenez, Jose Pachuca, Emanuel Gularte, Efrain Orona, Gustavo Ferrareis, Brayan Angulo, Pablo Gonzalez, Diego De Buen, Raul Castillo, Emiliano Gomez, Luis Quinones.

Cruz Azul (confirmed lineup): Kevin Mier, Willer Ditta, Erik Lira, Gonzalo Piovi, Carlos Rodriguez, Jorge Sanchez, Lorenzo Faravelli, Alexis Gutierrez, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, Georgios Giakoumakis, Andres Montano.

Expert analysis of Liga MX

We constantly follow team news. Combined with the latest shape, this helps us get the best value. Our football experts also take a data-driven approach, with key numbers proving useful.

Key league statistics Puebla vs. Cruz Azul:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in all of Puebla's last 5 home games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of Puebla's last 10 home games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in Puebla's last 6 home games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Cruz Azul games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Cruz Azul games.
• The 2.5 mark has been covered in Cruz Azul's last three away games.

We expect the net to bulge a lot in this Liga MX showdown. Looking at the stats available, we will bet on Over 2.5 Goals and are optimistic with the currently available value of 1.62.

If you expect some goals to be scored, you have the option to combine the Over 2.5 Goals selection with BTTS Yes. Go to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market for bigger odds.

Over 2.5 probability

Bookmakers estimate that the probability of this tip producing a return is 61.9%. Taking all factors into account, our experts believe that the chances of success are greater and assume a probability interval between 65 and 70%. For this reason, we think this bet is worth making.