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Preview: Compostela vs Alaves – Prediction, Team News, Lineups
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Preview: Compostela vs Alaves – Prediction, Team News, Lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Compostela and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

La Liga fighters Alaves are aiming to secure their place in the second round of the 2024-25 season Copa del Rey when they head to the fourth division Compostela on Tuesday evening.

Alaves will enter the game following a 1-0 defeat against Rayo Vallecano, which left them in 16th place La Liga tablewhile Compostela drew 0-0 against Real Aviles in the Segunda RFEF on Saturday.


Game preview

Compostela have played in Spain's fourth division for each of the last four seasons, finishing seventh last season, while they are currently 13th in the Segunda RFEF, having picked up eight points from nine games.

Anton PermuyThe Barcelona side will go into this game in strong form, having won three of their last five games in all competitions and picking up a point in a goalless draw against Real Aviles on Saturday.

Compostela previously reached the quarterfinals of the Copa del Rey in 1999-2000, but have not been able to progress past the first round of the competition since the 2019-20 season.

The hosts will know how big their task is on Tuesday as Alaves will face incredibly difficult opponents, although the La Liga team will enter the first round in disappointing form.

Deportivo Alaves head coach Luis Garcia on September 24, 2024© Imago

In fact, Alaves have been beaten in each of their last five games, including a 1-0 defeat at Rayo Vallecano on Saturday, which saw them drop to 16th in the table.

The Basque team has not won since a 2-1 home win over Sevilla on September 20, while they have conceded 12 goals in their last five defeats, raising concerns ahead of their next two defeats against Mallorca and Villarreal.

Luis GarcíaThe Barcelona side have only managed one win on their travels this season, but it was a standout victory as they won 2-1 at Real Sociedad at the end of August, while they were only beaten 3-2 at Real Madrid last month .

Alaves' best ever Copa del Rey performance came in the 2016-17 season when they finished second to Barcelona, ​​but they have made it to the round of 16 in each of their last two seasons.

However, the Blue and Whites were recently eliminated in the first round of the competition after failing to progress beyond this stage of the tournament in 2019/20, losing to fourth division side Jaen.

Compostela form (all competitions):

Alaves form (all competitions):


Team news

Kike Garcia of Deportivo Alaves in action on August 25, 2024© Imago

Compostela is led by the 29-year-old midfielder Samuel Rodríguezand the home side are expected to start Tuesday night with a strong XI as they look to have a chance against an out-of-form side.

Santi de Prado And Hugo Matos They are expected to feature in the final third of the field, with 38-year-old Manu Berreiro providing the home side with an attacking option from the bench.

As for Alaves, head coach Garcia will announce the changes from Saturday's clash with Rayo Vallecano.

Jesus Owono He is expected to get the nod between the sticks while Antonio Blanco, Joan Jordan, Asier Villalibre And Stoichkov are likely to be among those who secure the starting places on Tuesday evening.

Alaves is expected to do without the services of Santiago Mourinowho had to be substituted due to injury in the first half of the duel with Rayo Vallecano, during Hugo Novoa And Aleksandar Sedlar are also on the sidelines.

However, the La Liga club's squad will be strengthened with the return of Kike Garcia And Abdel Abqar following locks.

Possible Compostela starting lineup:
Rabanillo; Gonzalez, Casas, Soto, Rivas; Selasi, Cano, Rodriguez; Gonzalez, Matos, De Prado

Alave's possible starting lineup:
Owono; Tenaglia, Pica, Abqar, Sanchez; Jordan, Benavidez, Blanco; Stoichkov, Villalibre, Rebbach


SM words green background

We say: Compostela 0-2 Alaves

Alaves were beaten by a fourth-tier side at this stage of the 2019-20 competition, but we can hardly expect a defeat for the La Liga team here, even taking into account the problems in Spain's top flight.

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player statistics, suggests that the most likely outcome of this game is a Alaves Win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a victory for Compostela has a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely outcome for one Alaves winning is 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely outcomes for this outcome are: 0-2 (11.15%) And 1-2 (9.36%). The most likely outcome line drawn is 1-1 (11.72%)while for a Compostela winning is it 1:0 (7.34%).




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