As America waits to decide its next president, everyone is desperate to understand where the race is headed in one of the most polarizing elections in its history.

Although Trump's camp declared an early victory, historian Allan Lichtman reiterated that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly defeat former President Donald Trump.

In a post on

After correctly predicting nine out of 10 elections, Lichtman shared a post on Monday

It's surprising since Nate Silver is also predicting a Kamala win

Who is Allan Lichtman? Historian with a perfect record

Allan Lichtman, a 77-year-old historian whose “13 Keys to the White House” system has accurately predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1984, except the disputed 2000 election.

Lichtman's method relies on a series of true/false statements about the incumbent party's performance, ranging from economic indicators to social unrest, to predict election outcomes.

Confident in his model's abilities, Lichtman declared on social media: “Mark my words… The Keys will be right again!” Despite his confidence, Lichtman expressed unusual concern this year, attributing it to the fragility of democracy. In a candid interview, he remarked: “Throughout human history there has been almost no democracy… I think I have a flock of crows in my stomach this year.”

Who is Nate Silver? Data-driven statistician

Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, is celebrated for his rigorous statistical approach to election forecasting. His final prediction for the 2024 race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump depends on razor-thin probabilities.

In a recent post on Silver's model ran 80,000 simulations, with Harris narrowly winning in 40,012 of them, underscoring the unprecedented closeness of this election.

Silver's method is based on extensive survey data, historical trends, and numerous variables, making his model a favorite for those who trust numbers and probability. Still, Silver acknowledges the inherent uncertainties and fluctuations, especially in such a polarized political environment.