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Nick Sirianni's decisions can't always be saved by the Eagles' superior talent
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Nick Sirianni's decisions can't always be saved by the Eagles' superior talent

The differences between the Jaguars and Eagles on Sunday were stark and jarring.

One of the two teams was extremely talented. One wasn't.

One of the two teams had spectacular highlight reel plays and is a legitimate playoff contender. One is not.

One of the two teams has an MVP-caliber quarterback. You don't do it.

One of the two teams has exciting young players and an improving defense. You don't do it.

Jacksonville has fully earned its 2-7 record this season, while the 6-2 Eagles once again put themselves in a position to make another Super Bowl run. And yet Sunday's 28-23 win over the hapless Jags was only possible thanks to an end zone interception by Nakobe Dean and was the team's second loss at Lincoln Financial Field this season.

It didn't have to be that way, but it was, thanks to a glaring error by the replay officials, who awarded the Jaguars a touchdown on a non-fumble by Saquon Barkley, and four decisions by Sirianni that actively took points off the board.

First, let me know that I believe in analytics, and I believe one of the reasons Philadelphia has been successful under Lurie's leadership is because he and the front office rely on the use of analytics in decision-making. But as the baseball world has observed over the last decade, humans cannot live on computers alone. The best managers/head coaches are the ones who harness and leverage the analytics, but also know when to put it in their pockets.

  • After the Jaguars inexplicably gave up a 19-yard touchdown to Barkley on a 3rd-and-17 with 22 seconds left, the Eagles lined up and kicked the extra point to take a 17-point lead. However, DaVon Hamilton was caught offside on the extra point attempt, so Sirianni decided to take the point off the board, accept the penalty and score two points with the tush push from the one-yard line. Normally that would be the right impulse, but if the Eagles had kept the extra point, it would have been a three-point game rather than a 16-point, two-point game. The fact that the Eagles failed to convert on the tush push was shocking, but it was an unforced error and the advantage of an 18-point lead versus a 17-point lead wasn't worth the risk.
  • After Jalen Hurts' 18-yard TD run gave them a 22-0 lead, the Eagles received another gift from Jacksonville in the form of a penalty that placed the extra point attempt at the one-yard line. Instead of kicking and extending the lead to 23-0, Sirianni attempted another tush push to score two. Once again it was full. This call was, in my opinion, less egregious than the previous one, perhaps a negative process over outcome scenario.
  • With just over a minute left in the third quarter and the Eagles suddenly holding a 22-16 lead, the Eagles found themselves inches from the Jaguars' 25-yard line. Yes, Jacksonville had stopped two tush pushes earlier, but since they only needed inches, they could have let Barkley run or thrown a quick, high-rate pass. Instead, they relied on a slow-moving passing game that led to turnovers on downs. Had they made the field goal, they would have led 25-16, a two-possession game. Normally a field goal is a loss, but in this case chasing points wasn't working for them and the playcalling was terrible. This also applies to Kellen Moore.
  • With a five-point lead, the Eagles finally had the ball at the Jacksonville 39-yard line and faced a 4th-and-4. This was not an easy decision. Either try for a more difficult fourth down conversion or try for a 57-yard field goal. Or punt and try to pin Trevor Lawrence inside his own 10-yard line. The problem with shooting a field goal here is that it turns a five-point lead into only an eight-point lead. It's still a one-score game. Jake Elliott missed the long field goal and the Eagles had to be bailed out by a Dean interception in the end zone to seal it.

I understand that some of these decisions are coin tosses, but Sirianni seems to make the wrong decision in most cases. Yes, you could argue that none of this would matter if the Tush Push had worked as expected, and that's true. But the same argument was also made when they decided to throw the ball to Barkley at the end of the Falcons game (a decision I hated in the moment and still do), and it almost happened again.

Of all the Super Bowl contenders, the Eagles' head coach is the one who could ultimately cost his team a playoff game more than anyone else. Over the past three weeks, Sirianni's decision-making has been fine, but on Sunday it continued to hurt his team's chances of beating one of the worst teams the Eagles will see this year.

Against a terrible Jacksonville team, the talent prevailed. In the postseason, against a team like the Lions, Commanders, Packers, Vikings, Falcons or 49ers (I'm not ready to say Cardinals yet), there is less room for error and the talent gap won't save Sirianni from damaging in-game decisions.

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