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Monday football tips: Focus on fouls in La Liga's 15/2 treble
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Monday football tips: Focus on fouls in La Liga's 15/2 treble

Article image:Football tips for Monday: Focus on fouls in La Liga's 15/2 treble

Iago Aspas has been fouled in all but one game against Celta Vigo this season



Paul Higham is at 15/2 with fouls markets favored on Monday night as Celta Vigo hosts Getafe in La Liga.

  1. Not many goals are expected, but a lot of fouls are expected as Celta hosts Getafe

  2. Three players who have been very successful in foul markets in recent games

Celta Vigo vs GetafeMonday, November 4th, 8:00 p.m. Kick-Off Live on Premier Sports 1 & LaLiga TV

Successive defeats have blighted a good start for Celta Vigo, but they are favorites to get back to winning ways against Getafe on Monday night.

The visitors had three straight draws before their trip north, meaning they still have just one win this season, but they are unbeaten in their last five head-to-head meetings and have lost just one of their last eight trips to the Estadio de Balaidos.

And with Getafe having the fewest goals scored (8) and second fewest goals conceded (9) overall, it doesn't look like a penalty shootout on paper – but there should be plenty of nervous energy and intent, so that means a lot to me Action on the fouls markets.

Leg 1: Borja Iglesias 2+ fouls

The statistics suggest it's worth supporting Borja Iglesias for 2+ fouls at 10/11 Since the Celta Vigo striker has been making this bet regularly lately.

He's committed two fouls in his last three appearances, four of his last five and five of his last six starts – so there's not much else he could do to sell himself in this one.

It's not a problem when Celta is at home either, having reached the two-foul mark in three of his last four games on home soil.

Stage 2: Iago Aspas fouled more than twice

For us there are equally convincing arguments Jago Aspas is fouled more than twice Here too – even at a significantly cheaper price 2/5.

He was fouled in nine of his 10 appearances this season and in each of his eight starts, seven of which were multiple fouls.

So this bet has landed a total of seven out of eight times and in each of his last six starts. Even though it's short, it's still worth recording.

Leg 3: Bertug Yildirim 3+ fouls

When putting together Bet Builders there is sometimes a risk of getting a little too greedy and for a safer game you can add Bertug Yildirim for 2+ fouls 8/11 for a height that approximately rounds off 7/2.

But the 22-year-old Turkish striker has been pretty prolific when it comes to giving out fouls lately, so let's push the boat out and added him for 3+ fouls 23/10.

Yildirim has committed four fouls in each of his last three games for Getafe – and has made that bet a total of five times in just eight La Liga starts this season.

That's a pretty good hit rate and hard to ignore.

Read Mike Norman's Monday Night Football Premier League preview now

Recommended bets

Back Yildirim 3+ fouls, Iglesias 2+ fouls and Aspas 2+ fouls @ 15/2

COLUMN P/L 24/25

Staked: 112 points. Returned: 130.32 points. P/L: +18.32 points

Profit and loss statement 2023/24: +16.78 points. Profit and loss statement 2022/23: +68.69 points

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