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How the Libertarian presidential candidate could be a spoilsport for Trump
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How the Libertarian presidential candidate could be a spoilsport for Trump

The 2024 presidential election showed signs earlier this year that a third-party candidate could make a splash.

But those signs disappeared with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s withdrawal from the race, leaving voters with few options other than Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.

But one of those options is the Libertarian Party's presidential candidate: Chase Oliver. And he, together with Green Party candidate Jill Stein, has the potential to spoil a state victory for Harris or Trump.

Oliver is just 39 years old, making him the youngest of the major third-party candidates. A native of Atlanta, he ran there twice as a candidate for the House of Representatives in 2020 and then as a candidate for the Senate in 2022.

Oliver gained national prominence for his role in his last campaign, where he received 2% of the vote in the Senate race between then-candidates Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker. He debated Warnock without Walker in a matchup hosted by Georgia Public Broadcast in October, which gave him additional exposure.

Oliver's 2% ultimately helped force a Senate runoff when neither candidate reached 50% of the vote. Warnock would continue to win.

Oliver is now playing a similar “spoiler” role in the 2024 presidential election. While he has had minimal funding for his presidential campaign – Oliver has raised just under $450,000 for his campaign – at least one Democratic group has reportedly spent significant resources to bolster him in the hopes that voters will see him as an alternative see Trump.

Civic Truth Action has pushed Oliver to the tune of more than $1.5 million with YouTube ads touting him as a “real conservative” who wants to repeal the income tax, not unlike a platform Trump has verbally taken over . The super PAC's largest supporter is the Democratic-led organization Evidence for Impact.

While Stein is widely expected to take votes away from Harris' progressive and far-left flank, Oliver could weaken Trump's support among libertarian-leaning voters. It wouldn't be the first time that Trump has faced a libertarian candidate in the presidential election.

In 2020, Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen received more support as President Joe Biden won in Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin. Jorgensen received her highest vote totals, all over 2% of the vote, in eight different Republican-won states. Some libertarian ideals, such as no income tax and minimal gun regulation, appeal to conservatives.

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Oliver could be used to taint Georgia, a lightly Republican state, for Trump. A current one New York Times A Georgia poll showed him with 2% support in the state, resulting in a 46%-46% tie between Harris and Trump.

Georgia is where Oliver could have his biggest impact. He would likely withdraw support from Trump, and a Harris win in the state makes it much harder for the Republican to win the election.

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