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Florida is on the verge of collapse as a top Republican poll shows Trump's lead has all but disappeared
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Florida is on the verge of collapse as a top Republican poll shows Trump's lead has all but disappeared

Donald Trump's lead in his home state of Florida has shrunk, helping Kamala Harris, according to a poll.

The former president is just two percentage points ahead of the vice president in the Sunshine State, where he has his residence at Mar-a-Lago, according to a Thursday poll by RMG Research's Napolitan News Service, which has historically favored Republicans.

There appeared to be a strong age gap in the survey results.

Harris dominated young Floridians, with 55 percent of respondents supporting the Democratic candidate compared to just 43 percent supporting Trump. The former president is clearly ahead of the older crowd; More than half of those over 65 — 53 percent — expressed support for Trump, compared to 44 percent for Harris.

Men and women were also divided among the candidates, as the survey shows. Harris received the support of 49 percent of female respondents compared to 47 percent who supported Trump, but the former president won 53 percent of male participants while Harris received 45 percent.

The participants' race had the largest gaps.

Vice President Kamala Harris, left, speaks at a campaign rally Aug. 18, 2024, in Rochester, and Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally Aug. 19, 2024, in York. A recent poll suggests Florida could be in play for Harris (Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.)Vice President Kamala Harris, left, speaks at a campaign rally Aug. 18, 2024, in Rochester, and Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally Aug. 19, 2024, in York. A recent poll suggests Florida could be in play for Harris (Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.)

Vice President Kamala Harris, left, speaks at a campaign rally Aug. 18, 2024, in Rochester, and Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally Aug. 19, 2024, in York. A recent poll suggests Florida could be in play for Harris (Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.)

The majority of black respondents — 87 percent — favored Harris, compared to just 13 percent who favored Trump. The vice president also received the support of 60 percent of Hispanic participants; Trump got 37 percent. The former president received 57 percent of white respondents, compared to 39 percent for Harris.

The poll's narrow margin shows how much the political scene has changed since Harris entered the race in late July.

The Republican candidate was leading the state by nearly 9 percentage points when Biden dropped out, polling averages from FiveThirtyEight show. Harris narrowed the gap slightly by 3.3 percentage points in a state Trump won in 2020.

Democratic National Committee Chairman Jaime Harrison told reporters in September that he believed Harris had “a chance” in Florida. “I keep saying, folks, you’re going to be surprised on election night at what’s happening in the state, that you can’t give up on Florida.”

The survey was conducted September 25-27, before Hurricane Helene struck and devastated the state and its neighbors. It's unclear how the storm may have affected voters' views.

Harris plans to visit North Carolina, also devastated by the hurricane, to survey the devastation. Trump visited him earlier this week. There he claimed that the federal response included “poor treatment of North Carolina in particular.” This claim comes days after the former president published a Truth Social post in which he falsely accused the Biden-Harris administration, as well as the state's Democratic governor, Roy Cooper, of “doing everything to please the people in Republican.” “Not helping areas.”

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