Fox News has changed its Arizona election forecast from “weak” to “Republican,” predicting a victory for former President Donald Trump in the Grand Canyon State.

Moderator Bill Hemmer announced the postponement America's Newsroom On Tuesday, he suggested that a Kamala Harris victory in the Electoral College was “plausible” without the vice president winning Arizona.

The shift in the network's state forecast “power rankings” was based on averaging the results of eight polls in the state since the beginning of September. Trump led in seven polls and Harris in one.

Newsweek emailed both campaign teams for comment.

While polls in 43 states suggest they are most likely to support one of the two major party candidates, the remaining seven states are closely contested battlegrounds where candidates must win a certain combination of votes to reach 270 votes in the Electoral College and the presidency to win.

The seven states in contention are Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.

With Fox News changing its rating for Arizona to lean Republican, Harris still has a path to victory by winning the other swing states.

“They got the blue wall with Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, and they got that one electoral vote in Nebraska,” Hemmer said. “If she can do what we've been talking about for a few weeks now, that would be the 270 mark she needs to reach. So that’s still a plausible map based on what we’re seeing now.”

However, Fox News has switched the three blue wall states from “lean Democratic” to “tossup” in its power rankings, meaning six of the seven battlegrounds are now classified as “toss-ups.” Trump won all seven in 2016 and Joe Biden won all seven in 2020.

In a situation where Harris wins all of the Democratic-leaning states, the three blue wall states, and Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District (which polls show her winning), Harris would have 270 electoral votes and win the White House.

In this scenario, it is assumed that Trump would win all Republican-leaning states plus Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Arizona and Maine's 2nd Congressional District (the polls suggest he will win), giving him 268 votes for the Electoral College brought.

Trump will most likely need at least two of the four largest battleground states (Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan) to win, but he could win with the three largest states (by Electoral College votes) – Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia win – while he lost the rest to Harris.

As it stands, the election is shaping up to be one of the closest in history.

Update 10/30/24 2:24 PM ET: This article has been updated for clarity.