Political historian Allan Lichtman, known for his impressive track record of predicting nine of the last ten U.S. presidential elections since 1984, has released his latest prediction just a week before the 2024 election. Lichtman, often referred to as the “Nostradamus of elections,” shared his prediction that Kamala Harris will prevail against Donald Trump in this high-stakes race for the White House.

In a recent YouTube episode, Lichtman discussed the unusually high level of election anxiety surrounding this race, comparing it to elections he has followed since the 1960s. He attributes the tension to public fears about the future of American democracy and deep divisions over the direction of the country, noting that he personally has faced unprecedented hostility and threats during this election season.

Method behind Lichtman's predictions

Lichtman's unique forecasting method, “The Keys to the White House,” developed with Russian scientist Vladimir Keilis-Borok, is based on 13 indicators that assess factors such as the economy, social stability and the performance of the party in power, and not on traditional surveys. Despite recent controversies in the campaign, Lichtman confirms that his methodology's indicators continue to consistently point to a Harris victory.

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Lichtman encourages viewers to disregard poll data, emphasizing that his 13 “keys” are based on the underlying forces that historically determine election outcomes. He assigns a “true” or “false” label to each key, with eight of them indicating that Harris and the Democrats remain in control of the White House.

Final Prediction: Harris for the win

Confident in his established system, Lichtman reiterates his stance that the electoral keys remain unchanged, and his prediction remains unchanged: Harris will win. With a week to go, this prediction is attracting attention as one of the most closely watched elections in the United States looms.

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FAQs:

Who is Allan Lichtman and why is he called the “Nostradamus of elections”?
Allan Lichtman is an American political historian known for accurately predicting nine of the last ten US presidential elections since 1984. He was nicknamed the “Nostradamus of elections” for his consistent accuracy in predicting election results using his “Key to the White House” system. .What does Allan Lichtman predict for the 2024 presidential election?
Lichtman predicts that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election against Donald Trump, meaning another Democratic term in the White House. He bases this on his “Keys to the White House” analysis, which currently shows eight of 13 keys as favorable for Harris.