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Donald Trump won the 2024 election. Here's what's next on two important economic topics.
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Donald Trump won the 2024 election. Here's what's next on two important economic topics.

American voters have elected Donald Trump as the next President of the United States, handing him a comfortable victory over Vice President Kamala Harris.

An Associated Press call Wednesday morning in the state of Wisconsin in favor of Trump exaggerated it as Trump will now receive the distinction of being the 45th and 47th U.S. presidents.

“This was, in my opinion, the greatest political movement of all time,” he told his supporters early Wednesday morning as he neared victory. “And now it will reach a new level of importance.”

The former president was buoyed by strong male support and a strong voter focus on inflation, evident in nearly every poll in the years since consumer inflation peaked at an annual rate of 9.1% in June 2022.

“America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate,” Trump also said Wednesday, pointing to his victory in the Electoral College and his lead in the popular vote Wednesday morning.

TOPSHOT – Former U.S. President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during an election night event at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida, November 6, 2024. Former Republican President Donald Trump is about to begin a new term in the White House on November 6, 2024, needing just a handful of electoral votes to defeat Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris. (Photo by Jim WATSON/AFP) (Photo by JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images)
Former President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during an election night rally in West Palm Beach, Florida, on November 6. (JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images) · JIM WATSON via Getty Images

Inflation has moderated in recent years, but remains the focus of voters' attention. Trump was able to use this to win Joe Biden's voters back to his side and attract new voters to the polls who had not been present in previous elections.

“We are going to transform our country,” he promised voters at his final rally late Monday night in Grand Rapids, Michigan. “I will end inflation very quickly.”

It was a refrain he repeated at nearly every campaign stop, including Wednesday morning, when his podium read: “Trump will do it.”

Trump's key campaign promises – a new wave of tariffs and a “mass deportation” of undocumented immigrants – could put new upward pressure on prices, many economists say.

A note from Capital Economics late Tuesday evening highlighted some of the macroeconomic concerns. The authors wrote that they expected Trump to move forward with his proposed immigration restrictions and tariffs, and that we therefore “intend to reduce our GDP growth forecast … by approximately 1% and increase our inflation forecast by 1% over the same period.” increase.” .”

Trump remained unimpressed during the campaign and promised to impose new blanket tariffs against Mexico during a visit to North Carolina on the final day of the campaign.

“You’re the first people I told,” Trump told a crowd in Raleigh. “Congratulations, North Carolina.”

In addition to his promises of tariffs on Mexico, Trump has also promised things like 60% tariffs on China and 20% tariffs on America's other trading partners.

A Goldman Sachs analysis estimates that a Trump victory would hit U.S. GDP growth by -0.5 percentage points, largely due to “tariffs impacting growth.”

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