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White women and college-educated voters bode badly for Trump: exit poll
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White women and college-educated voters bode badly for Trump: exit poll

A new exit poll suggests more white women and college-educated voters are participating in this presidential election than in 2020, a potentially worrying sign for Donald Trump.

A national exit poll from Edison Research shows that 43 percent of voters have a college degree this year, up from 41 percent in 2020, according to Reuters. Overall, 37 percent of voters were white women, an increase from 32 percent in 2020. Women made up overall 53 percent of voters, an increase from 52 percent in 2020.

Previous polls suggested Vice President Kamala Harris had a clear advantage over Trump among college-educated voters and women, although it was less clear that white women would explicitly support the Democrat.

Donald Trump Exit Polls: College-Educated Women
Donald Trump is seen during a campaign stop in Lititz, Pennsylvania on Sunday. An Election Day poll suggests women and college-educated voters are more likely to vote this year than in 2020,…


Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

Newsweek sought comment via email Tuesday evening about the Trump and Harris campaigns.

While exit polls fluctuate and don't necessarily indicate the outcome of a race, Edison Research data also suggests that Harris has a slight lead over Trump when it comes to which candidate voters have a favorable opinion of.

Trump was viewed favorably by 44 percent of respondents, compared to 46 percent in 2020. The former president was viewed unfavorably by 54 percent, compared to 52 percent in 2020.

Meanwhile, 48 percent of respondents said they viewed Harris favorably, while 50 percent had a negative opinion. In 2020, 52 percent of respondents expressed a positive opinion of then-candidate Joe Biden and 46 percent expressed a negative opinion.

When it comes to topics, respondents said “the state of democracy” was their biggest concern at 35 percent, while the economy was second at 31 percent. Abortion was the third most important issue at 14 percent, followed by immigration in fourth place at 11 percent.

At 51 percent, Trump was more trusted to “get the economy under control” than Harris, although the vice president was not far behind at 47 percent.

A majority of respondents, 45 percent, said their financial situation was worse than it was four years ago, while 24 percent said they were better off and 30 percent said it remained the same.

Trump had some encouraging signs in the demographics. White voters – a group with whom he is clearly in the lead overall – took part in the election at higher rates than in 2020. White voters made up 71 percent of the electorate, up from 67 percent in 2020.

Black and Hispanic participation appears to have declined slightly, which should also benefit the former president. Black voters made up 11 percent of respondents this year, while they made up 13 percent in 2020. Hispanic voters made up 12 percent this year, down from 13 percent in 2020.

Black women made up 7 percent of survey respondents, while in 2020, 8 percent of respondents were Black women. The proportion of black men remained unchanged at 4 percent this year.

The share of Hispanic men in the exit poll increased from 5 percent to 6 percent, while Hispanic women fell from 8 percent to 6 percent.

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