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Who will win the presidential election? What Harris Trump polls show now
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Who will win the presidential election? What Harris Trump polls show now

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Election Day is just eight days away and the presidential candidates are in their final stages, According to the polls and ratings, the tide is turning.

Vice President Kamala Harris has been consistently in the lead in national polls over the past two months, although the lead has continued to shrink week by week as former President Donald Trump gained ground and even took the lead in some of the key swing states – it's likely Determine race.

Here's what the polls and odds say now – and how they've changed over the past two months – as we approach Election Day on Tuesday, November 5th.

Who is currently ahead in the polls and is favored by the odds?

  • ABC News Project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.0%, ahead of Trump at 46.6% – compared to last week, Harris is ahead at 48.2%, ahead of Trump at 46.4%. compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 46.1% two weeks ago, compared to Harris 48% over Trump 47.3% three weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 45.8% four weeks ago weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.6% five weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.3% six weeks ago, compared to Harris 47.1% over Trump 44 .4% seven weeks ago, compared to Harris 47.1% over Trump at 43.9% eight weeks ago, or compared to Harris 47.0% over Trump at 43.7% nine weeks ago.
  • 270towin shows Harris has the narrowest lead in the national polls at 0.7% over Trump – compared to 1.5% over Trump last week, compared to Harris 2.5% over Trump two weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.8% over Trump three weeks ago, compared to Harris 3.7% over Trump four weeks ago, compared to Harris over Trump by 3 % five weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.5% over Trump six weeks ago, compared to Harris 0.9% over Trump seven weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.7% over Trump eight weeks ago, or compared to Harris 1.9% over Trump nine weeks ago.
  • realclearpolling shows that the betting odds have turned in favor of Trump by +0.1% over Harris – compared to Harris over Trump by +0.8 last week. compared to Harris at +1.7 two weeks ago, compared to a tie between Harris and Trump three weeks ago, compared to Harris at +1.8 four weeks ago, compared to Harris at +2.3 five weeks ago weeks, compared to Harris +2.0 six weeks ago, compared to Harris +1.1 seven weeks ago, compared to Harris +1.8 eight weeks ago and compared to Harris +1.7 nine weeks ago.
  • Polymarket, a The crypto trading platform expresses growing odds of the betting public, favoring Trump 66.1% to Harris 33.9% – compared to Trump 64.1% to Harris 36.0% last week. compared to Trump 56.3% to Harris 43.1% two weeks ago, compared to Trump 52.8% to Harris 46.7% three weeks ago, compared to Harris who was preferred to Trump by 2% four weeks ago, compared to Harris over Trump by 3% five weeks ago, compared to Harris over Trump by 2% six weeks ago, compared to Harris over Trump by 1% seven weeks ago, compared to Trump over Harris by 4% eight weeks ago or compared to Harris over Trump by 1% nine weeks ago.

Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers refer to Monday, October 28, 2024, 10 a.m

How accurate were the voting rates or polls in past presidential elections?

According to Conversation, a nonprofit news organization, the betting favorite has lost just twice since 1866.

Survey track record is more challenging because different pollsters surveying different audiences can often achieve higher error rates.

According to Pew Research, trust in public opinion polls has suffered due to errors in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.

In these two general elections, many surveys underestimated the attractiveness of Republican Donald Trump.

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