October 27, 2024

Sunday morning report

Our exceptionally dry weather has resulted in large temperature fluctuations. It will be cool this weekend, followed by a big warm-up during the week, with a cool down expected next weekend.

This time there is a freeze warning for parts of Maryland, Delaware and Virginia on Monday morning. However, the temperature forecast shows it will take place inland, away from water and urban centers.

The next ridge of high pressure will bring late summer heat for Halloween. It doesn't look like a record, but a comfortable costume for the weather is worth considering now.

Morning surface weather

We remain stuck in this dry pattern and find ourselves on the cooler side of a new air mass today. It's cold enough to snow in Michigan's Upper Peninsula this morning. The warm-up in the middle of the country will arrive on Tuesday.

Morning temperatures

Weather forecast for the afternoon

Many areas will remain in the 50s.

Maryland Fall Foliage Report

CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore

TODAY, October 27th

Sunrise at 7:29 a.m

Sunset at 6:11 p.m

Normal low in Baltimore: 42°F

record temperature of 29°F in 1962; 1988

Normal high temperature in Baltimore: 64°F

Record 82ºF in 1963

Drought update

This map was updated this week.

Conditions are very dry across much of the region. A severe drought has developed in the mountains from Western Maryland to West Virginia.

In central Maryland there is a gap on the map, but locals dispute this and say their soil is also very dry.

Delmarva will experience increasingly extremely dry conditions over the next week.

Baltimore stats:

Precipitation down -5.39 inches since September 1st

FOUR SUPERMOONS OF 2024

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MONDAY OCTOBER 28TH

Frost warning

I must point out that NOT ALL OF THESE AREAS WILL BE THAT COLD!

The temperature forecast shows that temperatures in urban centers and waterfront areas are likely to remain warmer.

Morning low

Afternoon high

Jetstream animation: Monday to Friday

A large mountain ridge will dominate the eastern United States this week. This keeps us very warm and still very dry!

Thursday

Very warm temperatures prevail throughout the eastern United States.

Friday weather

The next cold front will arrive in early November.

Take a closer look

A better chance for showers is north of Baltimore in the hills near and north of the PA line.

The look forward

It could be another week before we can achieve a pattern change.

7 day forecast

Another big jump from possible frost inland Monday morning to near 80°F on Halloween.

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FIRST FROST DATES

Here is the average data across Maryland, and it matches the evidence we saw last week.

Click on this image to see more details about Maryland and Pennsylvania.

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Plan for a weather-dependent stem assembly

Severe weather: Storm Smart in October and next spring

Winter weather FITF (Faith in the Flakes): November to March

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The annual event: Hike and bike 329 miles in 7 days between Wisp Summit and Ocean City.

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The fundraising is intended for Just In Power Kids: funding free holistic programs. I have never taken a dime and never will. It's all up to our nonprofit.

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REPEATING MY MESSAGE ON THE TOPIC OF LEGEND

I understand that there are some spelling and grammatical errors, as well as occasional other errors. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer errors I may miss. I've made a few public statements over the years, but if you're new here you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out about it in my sophomore year at Cornell University. However, that didn't stop me from getting my degree in meteorology and being the first to receive the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region.

One of my professors told me that I had made it this far without knowing it and that I shouldn't let it be a crutch for the future. That was Mark Wysocki, and he was absolutely right! I miss my mistakes when proofreading myself. The automatic spell checker on my computer sometimes misses the mark and makes the problem worse. I can also make mistakes in forecasting. Nobody is perfect at predicting the future. All maps and information are correct. The “wordy” stuff can get sticky.

There was no editor to review my work when writing and have it ready to ship in a newsworthy time frame. Barbara Werner is a member of the web team that helps me maintain this website. She has made it her mission to correct typos when available. That could be AFTER you read this. I accept that and perhaps prove that what you read is really mine… It's part of my charm. #FITF