Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season concludes with an AFC East “Monday Night Football” showdown between Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills against Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN). The Jets enter the game at 2-3 with an interim head coach and a new offensive playcaller.

Robert Saleh was fired last Tuesday after the Jets' slow start to the season. Defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich replaces him on an interim basis. Ulbrich will look to get the first win of his coaching career against a Bills team that may be even more motivated by their Week 5 loss to the Houston Texans. Despite starting under .500, the Jets still have a chance to clinch first place in the division with a win in this game and will look to boost their offense with a new playcaller, Todd Downing.

The line for Monday's game is now at Bills -1 on ESPN BET after opening at Bills -3 last week. The line didn't move much throughout the week, but as kickoff approaches, New York has moved to the winning line.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Invoices (-1)
Money line: Bills (-120). Jets (even)
Over/Under: 40.5

Distribution in the first half: Banknotes -0.5 (even)/Jets +0.5 (-120)
Total score of bills: O/U 20.5 points (-110/-120)
Jets total pointts: O/U 19.5 points (-125/-105)

The props

Passing by

Aaron Rodgers total passing yards: Over/U 224.5 yards (Straight/-130)

Josh Allen total passing yards: Over/U 199.5 yards (-130/Straight)

All TDs passed in total: O/U 1.5 TDs (+160/-210)

Rush

James Cook Total Rushing Yards: O/U 59.5 (+120/-155)

Breece Hall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 49.5 (-145/+115)

Josh Allen's total rushing yards: O/U 29.5 (-135/+105)

Braelon Allen's total rushing yards: O/U 34.5 (+105/-135)

Reception

Garrett Wilson receiving total yards: O/U 59.5 (-125/-105)

Allen Lazard's total receiving yards: O/U 34.5 (-125/-105)

Tyler Conklin receiving total yards: O/U 29.5 (-110/-120)

Dalton Kincaid total receiving yards: O/U 39.5 (-120/-110)

Breece Hall total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (-125/-105)

Keon Coleman receiving total yards: O/U 34.5 (-125/-105)

Mike Williams total receiving yards: O/U 29.5 (+105/-135)

James Cook receives total yards: O/U 14.5 (-120/-110)

Ben Solak's choice

Breece Hall over 3.5 receptions (-125).

We're not entirely sure what New York's offense will look like with Ulbrich and Downing. But we know that the Bills give the ball to the running backs by exploiting their deep zones and forcing checkdowns, and we know that Aaron Rodgers needs to get rid of the ball quickly behind that offensive line. If it ends up being a “back to basics” game for the Jets, I think they will direct touches Hall’s way.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

Bills vs Jets

• Khalil Shakir has exceeded his receiving yards mark in three consecutive games, making him the longest active streak by a wide receiver.

• Tyler Conklin hasn't scored a touchdown since 2022, a streak of 17 straight starts. He's +375 to find the end zone in Week 6.

• Josh Allen has a +145 chance of throwing multiple passing touchdowns on Monday night, but the Jets have only allowed two passing touchdowns all season.

• Teams that leave a game in Europe without a bye week are 8-7 ATS.

• Four straight Jets games went under the total. All three of the Bills' away games this season fell short of the total. Since 2022, the Unders are 15-4 in Bills away games. Five straight meetings between the Bills and Jets were below the overall score.

• Aaron Rodgers is 7-1 ATS in his career as a home underdog and 6-1-1 overall (6-1 ATS if you exclude last year's Bills-Jets game when he was injured in the first series ).

• The Jets have won their last two home games as underdogs. They were 2.5 point underdogs last season and 10.5 point underdogs in 2022.

• The Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

• The Bills have gone 3-7 ATS in prime-time games over the last two seasons.