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NFL expert's best bets, predictions and player props for Week 6
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NFL expert's best bets, predictions and player props for Week 6

Every week throughout the NFL season, the staff here at FanDuel Research will bring you their three favorite bets – a side, an outright and a player prop from the NFL betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

They also give you an insight into one of the tips to give you reasons why they chose this bet.

Here's what our employees are enjoying this week.

Note: All odds are from the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Betting conditions and our NFL predictions are subject to change after this article is published.

NFL expert picks for Week 6

Austin Swaim, managing editor

Spread/Moneyline: Brown tones +9.5 (-110)

In total: Commanders-Ravens over 51.5 (-105)

The Baltimore Ravens defense has given up at least 26 offensive points in every game this season and will now face the red-hot Washington Commanders, who are the Fire's top-ranked offense in terms of schedule-adjusted efficiency. Nevertheless, Baltimore is the favorite with 6.5 points because Lamar Jackson can also target Washington's fifth-worst defense. These two teams also play at a reasonable pace to suit the situation, so I expect a shootout in Charm City where the last team to touch the ball wins.

Player prop: Diontae Johnson over 5.5 receptions (-102)

Austan Kas, managing editor

Spread/Moneyline: Bengal -3.5 (-118)

In total: Jaguars-Bears over 44.5 (-105)

Player prop: Anthony Richardson Anytime touchdown (+140)

As of Friday morning, it looks like Jonathan Taylor will be out this week as he still has to train. If Taylor sits, I'm interested in Richardson's touchdown chances. As a rookie, Richardson scored four rushing touchdowns in four starts, and those four touchdowns all occurred in games Taylor missed.

Kenyatta Storin, Editor-in-Chief

Spread/Moneyline: Commanders +6.5 (-105)

I'm not sure if Washington can pull off the surprise, but it should be a close, back-and-forth duel between the NFL's two top offenses. Baltimore ranks just 24th in adjusted pass defense, so this isn't a daunting matchup for star rookie Jayden Daniels, which should help him keep up with counterpart Lamar Jackson. Daniels' rushing ability obviously gets a lot of attention in fantasy circles, but let's not forget that he also leads NFL starters in expected points per dropback (0.33).

In total: Commanders-Ravens over 51.5 (-105)

Player prop: Darnell Mooney over 48.5 receiving yards (-114)

Aidan Cotter, writer

Spread/Moneyline: Bears -1.5 (-105)

In total: Bucs-Saints over 41.5 (-106)

Player prop: DeAndre Hopkins over 41.5 receiving yards (-113)

Coming out of the bye, Hopkins finally gets the kind of soft matchup he can take advantage of. The Colts rank 27th in adjusted pass defense and have allowed the second-most yards per route run (1.93) to opposing wide receivers. This sets up a nice afternoon for D-Hop considering he has led the Titans in target share (21%) and air yard share (35%) over the last two games, although his snap rate is in was limited to 37.4% during this period.

Annie Nader, author

Spread/Moneyline: Bengal -3.5 (-118)

In total: Falcons-Panthers under 46.5 (-105)

Player prop: Terry McLaurin Anytime touchdown (+170)

McLaurin is enjoying a 27.3% target percentage, 57.0% air yards percentage and 15.4% red zone target percentage this season. The Ravens are giving up 8.1 yards per pass attempt (fourth-most) and check in as NumberFire's 24th best-performing pass defense. I'll be rooting for Jayden Daniels and Co. to at least attempt a shootout, and maybe that includes finding Terry in the end zone.

Riley Thomas, writer

Spread/Moneyline: Bears -1.5 (-105)

In total: Total Commander Crew over 21.5 (-114)

Player prop: Jahmyr Gibbs 70-Plus Rushing Yards (+140)

Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ yards


The Detroit Lions running game against the Dallas Cowboys should be everywhere. Dallas has the worst adjusted run defense while Detroit has the third best adjusted run offense. Gibbs has logged 81.7 rushing yards per game in his last three games and has averaged at least 78 rushing yards in all three contests. He was the more efficient back than David Montgomery, totaling 0.61 rushing yards per carry above expectations, compared to 0.09 for Monty. Gibbs' 57.5 rushing prop feels very accessible, making the 70+ alternative line at +140 an intriguing option.

Skyler Carlin, writer

Spread/Moneyline: Buccaneers -3.5 (-105)

In total: Falcons-Panthers under 46.5 (-105)

Player prop: Zay blooms for 54.5 yards (-113)

Given that Flowers leads the Ravens in target percentage (27.1%), air yards percentage (30.0%) and downfield targets per game (3.6), that line seems to hold true, according to NextGenStats to be low, as the Ravens have the highest implied total (29.0) a game against a shaky Commanders secondary. Washington's defense allows WRs the ninth-highest target rate (21.8%) and the 11th-most yards per route run (1.74) this season.

Jim Sannes, Editor-in-Chief

Spread/Moneyline: Cowboys +3 (-105)

In total: Lions-Cowboys under 52.5 (-115)

I understand why this total is so high, but I would expect a lot of ground and power from the Lions. While you should be efficient, this also keeps the clock running, which is good for subordinates. In my model, this total is quite high at 48.2 points, but that's still low enough that I can feel good about an under.

Player prop: Terry McLaurin over 60.5 receiving yards (-113)

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The above author is an employee of FanDuel and is not authorized to participate in public daily fantasy contests or place sports bets on FanDuel. The author's advice does not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. Following the author's advice is not a guarantee of a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.

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