Spread: Bengal -3.5
Money line: Bengals (-195), Giants (+165)
Over/Under: 46.5

Distribution in the first half: Bengals -2.5 (-120), Giants +2.5 (-110)
First half moneyline: Bengals (-175), Giants (+135)
Bengals total points: 25.5 (above -115/below -115)
Giants total points: 20.5 (above -120/below -110)

The props

Passing by

Joe Burrow's total passing yards: 249.5 (Over -145/Under +115)
Total TDs passed at Burrow: 1.5 (above -135/below +105)
Daniel Jones total passing yards: 224.5 (Over +115/Under -145)

Rush

Chase Brown Total Rushing Yards: 44.5 (above -105/below -125)
Zack Moss Total Rushing Yards: 44.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Jones total rushing yards: 34.5 (above -105/below -125)

Reception

Ja'Marr Chase total receiving yards: 79.5 (above even/below -130)
Tee Higgins total receiving yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Wan'Dale Robinson total receiving yards: 49.5 (above -145/below +115)
Darius Slayton total receiving yards: 49.5 (above -110/below -120)
Theo Johnson total receiving yards: 24.5 (above -125/below -105)
Andrei Iosivas Total reception yards: 24.5 (above -105/below -125)

Joe Fortenbaugh's choice

Bengals -3.5 over Giants

The projection here was Cincinnati -5.5, so we're getting the Bengals at a price two points cheaper than last week. Think about that for a second because I just increased my performance number for Cincinnati after Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense put up 520 yards and 38 points for the Baltimore defense. Cincinnati is 1-4, but has four losses by one point… and those losses totaled 15 points. This is a good buy-low spot for the Bengals going up against a Giants team that is 1-14 straight in prime time with quarterback Daniel Jones under center.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Giants have played three straight games.

• The Giants are 22-11 ATS underdogs under Brian Daboll.

• The Bengals are 18-9 ATS on the road since the start of 2021. Joe Burrow is 19-10 ATS in his away career (22-11 ATS including playoffs).

• Daniel Jones is 1-13 overall (6-8 ATS) in primetime games.

• Over the last decade, teams with 0-1 wins and 4-plus losses are 2-12 ATS as away favorites (4-10 overall). However, the last two teams in this spot both covered the spread.

• The Bengals are 1-2 favorites this season and are 7.5-point favorites to lose to the Commanders and Patriots.

• The Unders are 5-0 in Sunday night games this season, 31-10 over the last three seasons and 60-31-2 since 2019.

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